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Myths & Facts

 

1. Myth:  the best source of electric energy for the Railbelt for the next 50 years is natural gas because:

a. Myth:  Inexpensive           
Fact:  Low cost gas prices are long gone; hydro is now competitive with gas
b. Myth:  No subsidy for gas     
Fact:  State subsidies are required
c.   Myth:  Gas prices will hold     
Fact:  Gas prices are projected to rise
d. Myth:  Gas is available     
Fact:  Only as consumers pay more
e.   Myth:  Storage will solve deliverability issue     
Fact:  Only with long term commitments at “market price”                       
f.      Myth:  Lower environmental impact than coal           
Fact:  True; gas is ½ CO2 impact compared with coal
g.     Myth:  Lower impact than Hydro          
Fact:  Hydro is a fraction of the impact of gas                                              
h. Myth:  Gas market price volatility can be mitigated         
Fact:  Hydro power is highly predictable because it is independent of market volatility
i.     Myth:  Bullet or spur line far quicker          
Fact:  Hydro facility takes 2-4 years longer
j.     Myth:   Bullet or spur line far less expensive          
Fact:  Bullet line estimate $4 bil;  Susitna Phase One estimate $5.5 bil
k.      Myth:  Gas facilities offer low O&M                      
Fact:  Hydro is demonstrated to cost less operations/maintenance over the long term

 

2.  Myth:  Hydroelectric power is not feasible because

a. Myth: Expensive                         
Fact:  Over 50 year period, hydro is cheaper
b. Myth: Environmentally risky            
Fact:  Managed to enhance fisheries
c. Myth: Ruins salmon runs:           
Fact:  No salmon runs above Devils Canyon
d. Myth: Takes too long                       
Fact:  Phase I can be in place in 12 years
e. Myth: Too big                                   
Fact:  Phase I to supply 50% of current load
f.      Myth: Locks us in           
Fact:  Project is phased to meet demand
g.  Myth: Politically risky     
Fact:  Less risky for Alaskan consumers
h.    Myth: Wrong location           
Fact:  Located near main Railbelt Inter-tie
i.   Myth:  Stand alone facility     
Fact:  Wind and gas resources can be tapped
j. Myth:  Sedimentation issue     
Fact:  Sedimentation can be managed

 

 

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